Ariad Pharmaceuticals Inc fka ARIA

[iandy]

In over 30 years of investing I've only had one stock that I thought was even close to a sure thing. It was an oil stock that was trading below book value when the company was put up for sale - I guess one of their oil fields could have blown up or some other highly unlikely event could have occured. Every oil guy I talked to said I was right - it was as close to a sure thing as any of them had seen.

There are a number of ways this stock (ARIA) could blow up in your face. Most of them are highly unlikely but I have seen a lot of unlikely things happen in my time. I could list them but I am kinda heavily invested here and it might not be in my best interests. I am sure the other serious investors that post here could add to my list of potential disasters but I don't think that would be a good idea.

I am very overweight here and would love to begin lightening up.

Regards,
Andy