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Thursday, January 05, 2012 6:33:34 PM
Here's my take:
Let's assume across the various tractors that Tytan makes an average of $2000/tractor in net profit (that could be low, could be high - chime in anyone who knows).
If Mark can sell 40 tractors per quarter, that amounts to $80K profit per quarter or $320K per year. If the o/s is 3.2 billion that amounts to .0001 cents per share profit. Let's go with a p/e of 15 and we're looking at .0015 per share.
If he sells 80 per quarter, the share price would correspondingly be .0030 per share
160 ---- .0060
320 ---- .0120 (that would be 1280 tractors a year).
and so forth. 12800 tractors a year would be .12/share
Can Mark do it? If YTO is really on board, then yes and then some.
I'm just playing with numbers and my assumptions could be off but I still think of all the otc stocks I look at, this has the most likely promise of being do-able.
Other otc stocks are dependent on some great new technology being adopted (usually never is), gold in found in deposits (more hopeful than real) or oil lies in several hundred acres in Wyoming. They depend on hope more than reality.
At least TYTN exists in a plausible reality.
Again, can Mark do it? Who knows but I figure it's worth my "investment" more than most other otc stocks.
Just my opinion and I could very easily be wrong but somehow, someway, this company is different from most of the other stuff I've looked at.
Perhaps, it's my favorite stock of 2012 (with a nod to hyrpower).
We're either at the bottom and heading up or we're toast. I'm not about to butter the toast just yet.
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