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Re: lostcowboy post# 7099

Monday, 01/20/2003 5:43:32 AM

Monday, January 20, 2003 5:43:32 AM

Post# of 47300
$1,000,000? Make that $16,312!

The effectiveness of AIM in the Lichello cycle is partly due to the cycle itself. I rewrote the cycle so that it would go from 10 through 4 to 10 in 180 data points, with the help of a cosine. That makes two cycles in 360 points, or 15 cycles, as in Lichello's example, in 2700 data points. (Thank you, Dan Bricklin, for spreadsheets!) So what does AIM do with those 15 cycles? It dies in the 10th cycle with a last buy at $7.73. After that, no more action, and the final score is $16,312.

BTW, the (tentative) add-to-PC-after-a-sale version of AIM dies in the 15th cycle after a buy at $7.83. The hike back to $10 doesn't trigger a sale. The final score here is $21,813.

Of course this doesn't disqualify AIM. But in my opinion it does disqualify the Lichello Cycle, in case that was still necessary.

Regards,

Karel

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