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Saturday, July 16, 2011 5:19:44 PM
Before TPS screwed up the settlement, the WMI2 has total 350 million shares corresponding to 160 shares if HFs are the only shareholders. The par value is $1.00/share.
Therefore, P+K and U are two different groups for the balance of 190 million shares. The total value of the WMI2 including NOLs only is $8.40B, not even consider BOLI/COLI, etc. The commons and preferrds have 95 million shares respectivefully.
Since HFs are going to use the NOLs itself. Therefore, we should enjoy the full value of NOLs, which is 8.05B + 350M equal to $8.40B. THAT IS THE ONLY REASON THAT WE KEEP HFs. Otherwise, we could kick them out if JFR rate (0.25%) applys.
The market value is $24/share (i.e. $8.4B / 350 million shares). U is going to have reverse split of 20:1, and total share is roughly closed to 85 million shares @24.00/share, or equal to $1.20/share.
P and K could have 65% of the FV ($24 x 95 million share / 3.5B).
H is the winner.
After TPS jumps in, IMHO, HFs still want to have 160 million shares vs balance shared by U, P+K and TPS. HFs's point is that they could use NOLs whicno longer needs to be discounted. But MW makes no money probably @$0.80/shares before reverse split. The settlement broke off.
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