Baseball Chat

[Teamlasvegas]

FYI & FWIW
1 Unit on Rangers/Yankees UNDER 8.5
The Key: The Under is worth a shot this afternoon, considering the overwhelming numbers in favor of it. In fact, plays Under on road teams, where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TEXAS), after 3 or more consecutive wins, in October games, are 60-21 since 1997. This system is 14-5 the last 3 seasons and 2-0 already this season. It is also worth noting that we are only seeing an average of 7.8 total runs scored in these games. Bet the Under this afternoon.

I expect a duel between ace C.C. Sabathia and C.J. Wilson to come in Under the number this afternoon. Consider that Sabathia is 29-11 to the Under in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in his career. Also, Wilson is 8-1 to the Under as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. In addition, the Yankees have really been struggling at the plate. And, they will be without Mark Teixeira key bat today and the rest of the way if the Yankees can extend the series. With the Yankees fighting to stay alive, and with Texas looking to close this thing out, I'm expecting the nerves to get the best of a lot of these guys at the plate today. The Under is 7-3-1 in the Yankees' last 11 playoff home games, and this trend should continue this afternoon.

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1 Unit on Phillies/Giants UNDER 8
Bottom Line: I believe odds makers have set this number a little high when you consider that we haven't seen more than 7 total runs scored in any game this series. The Giants have scored 7 or less runs in 5 straight, 8 of their last 9 and 12 of their last 14. The Phillies have been under this number in 4 straight and 5 of their last 6. I'm expecting good performances from both starting pitchers tonight. The Giants' Bumgarner enters in top form, carrying an ERA of 1.50 over his last 3 starts. The same can be said about the Phillies' Blanton, who is carrying an ERA of 2.70 over his last 3 starts. With plenty of rest, both starters will have fresh arms. The Under is 8-1 in Bumgarner's last 9 home starts. The Under is also 4-1 in Blanton's last 5 starts as a road underdog and 4-0 in his last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Lastly, the Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these clubs in San Francisco. Bet the Under.