1 Unit on Rangers/Rays OVER 6.5
I'm taking the over tonight, going against what I believe to be a small number. After seeing just 6 total runs scored in each of the first 2 games of this series, these two teams combined for 9 and 7 runs respectively in Games 3 and 4. We saw 37 total hits the last two games after seeing just 27 in the first 2. The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these 2 clubs, and considering how well each team has scored against southpaw starters, one has to like its chances with the over tonight. The Rays are averaging 5.0 runs/game against lefty starters and the Rangers are averaging 4.5. And this may just be the clincher: Tampa Bay is 8-0 to the over the last 3 seasons when playing at home following 2 straight games with 5 or more extra base hits. Considering how well Texas hit the ball in Tampa Bay in Games 1 and 2, and with the way Tampa's bats came alive in Game 3 and 4, I like this one to find its way over a small number. Bet the Over.
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The situation for tonight’s big game favors Texas because of the experience of Cliff Lee in a big game. In his last three starts at Tropicana Field the left-hander has stuck out 30 Tampa Bay batters. As everyone knows the road team has won all four games in this series and Texas is 19-11 as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season. Though I really like David Price as a pitcher, he’s 0-3 with 6.92 ERA against the Rangers. I’ll side with Texas as Free Play.
"Your Vegas Is Showing"
I've been to Hollywood
I've been to Redwood
I crossed the ocean
for a heart of gold
I've been in my mind,
it's such a fine line
Later, The Team.