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Re: ck1234 post# 421

Thursday, 10/07/2010 1:57:57 PM

Thursday, October 07, 2010 1:57:57 PM

Post# of 7602
Thanks, but I couldn't translate that into potential revenues for Natcore China. Let me rephase the question and parse it into three questions:

1. How many tons of film can this initial factory produce in a year?

2. How many KWs of solar engery that equate 1 ton of film? 62.5 KWs according to your reply?

3. What portion of the cost of a solar panel is the film? 50%?

I think I read that the cheapest solar panels are costing aroud $7.50 per KW now?

So for fun, if the initial NatCore China factory can put out 1,000 tons a year, Revenues for NatCore might be:

$7.50 x 50% (Silicon Film cost per KW) x 2/3 (pass on savings of 1/3) x 62.50 (KWs from 1 ton) x 1,000 x 55% ownership stake =

$15,625,000? Annual Revenues

Seems low. Where is this analysis flawed?

Or may the direct question is, what does one ton of silicon film for for?