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Re: Teamlasvegas post# 111057

Wednesday, 10/06/2010 3:22:38 PM

Wednesday, October 06, 2010 3:22:38 PM

Post# of 212347
1 Unit on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +116
A Philadelphia Phillies club with plenty of playoff experience is showing solid value on the run line with ace Roy Halladay on the hill against a Cincinnati Reds club that is making its first postseason appearance since 1995. Philly has certainly had Cincy's number, especially at home. The Phillies have won 10 of 12 home games against the Reds the last 3 seasons, including all 4 meetings this season. It is worth noting that the Phillies have won these games by an average of 2.0 runs. Halladay has been ridiculously good down the stretch. He has won each of his last 5 starts, and the last 4 wins have all come by 2 or more runs. Volquez has relied on strong run support, which is something he likely won't get with Halladay opposing him, when you consider that his ERA is 4.31 on the season (6.08 on the road). Based on his season ERA, he could be right in Philly's wheelhouse, considering the Phillies are 13-1 vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 this season, defeating these pitchers by an average of 2.8 runs. Take the Phillies on the run line.

"Your Vegas Is Showing"
I've been to Hollywood
I've been to Redwood
I crossed the ocean
for a heart of gold
I've been in my mind,
it's such a fine line
Later, The Team.

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