InvestorsHub Logo
Followers 22
Posts 2530
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 04/01/2006

Re: bayfisherii post# 10349

Monday, 03/22/2010 8:39:21 AM

Monday, March 22, 2010 8:39:21 AM

Post# of 10911
Bay: I say SEO gets his north of $10.00 a share for this Scenario.
With a full carry, SEO will wait for Production to begin. In five years oil will be selling for about $100.00 a barrel. $100.00 less $10.00 a barrel for production cost = $90.00 less JDZ tax of 50% = $45.00 a barrel of gross profit oil. Lets assume that the NSAI numbers are 336 mbls for ERHE. 336/20 year life cycle or 16.8 mbls a year for ERHE. 16.8 x $45.00 = $756 million in gross earnings less $680 million for 90% for development cost payback. That leave $76 million less operating expenses of 8 million, that leaves $68 million x corp. tax rate of 35%, which leave $44.2 million net profit. 44.2million / 730 million shares = .06 a share dividend yield @ 4% should have stock price of $1.50 a share. It will take about 4 years to payback the development cost. Once this is achieved ERHE will have about $486 million net profit / 730 million shares = a .66 dividend yield @ 4% should have a stock price of $16.50 a share. This number is 10 years down the road. If the NSAI numbers for block 2,3 &4 are 365 million your $27.75 a share is possible with $100.00 a barrels oil in ten years if not sooner for a much larger Hydrocarbon Find.

Just Food For Thought.
Sneak

Join the InvestorsHub Community

Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.