FYI - FWIW & OT
Yesterday 4 W - 2 L
Record 10 W - 4 L
2 Days Bets
All Free Sports Is On A 10-0 Run, They Like Tenn Chattanooga Over The Citadel.
I DO NOT Like To Lay Points But I Will On The 10-0 Run
1. Tenn Chattanooga - 1 1/2 Over The Citadel
2. Seton Hall + 6 1/2 Over Georgetown
3. UL - Monroe + 2 1/2 Over South Alabama
4. Oregon PK Over Arizona State
5. Indiana + 14 Over Michigan
6. San Francisco + 6 Over Loyola Marymount
7. Arizona + 2 1/2 Over Oregon State
8. Stanford + 8 1/2 Over Washington
Good Luck & Later, The Team.
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1 Unit on Seton Hall +7
Seton Hall, with 4 returning starters, isn't getting the respect it deserves with this line, especially since Georgetown is only 1-10 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Georgetown is just 5-19 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Another big reason why the Hoyas won't cover this number is because the Pirates won't help them out enough by turning the ball over. Georgetown is just 1-10 ATS in home games versus good ball handling teams committing 14 or fewer turnovers per game over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.
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The Hoosiers have already shown that they can keep up with the Wolverines. Back on New Year's Even they won as five point underdogs on their home floor.
At 8-7 this is a lot of points for Michigan to be laying to a team that is 7-8 on the year. Indiana is scoring 72.3 pp against teams who allow 67.8 ppg and they are giving up just 40.8% from the floor against teams who shoot 43.2%.
Michigan is attempting 25 3-point shots per game and yet they are only hitting 29.7%. They have been playing solid defense, which leads me to believe that this is going to be a low scoring game, and with points at a premium I'll take the hefty number.
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Arizona while not the same team as in years past,should still be good enough to cover as a 4 point dog here tonight. They are 13-0 vs losing teams and have won here 8 of the past 12 years. Oregon St. is 9-33 in conference games and 3-14 at home when the total is 130 to 135. Grab the points here tonight in this PAC 10 match up. On Thursday I have the 32-4 Sun Belt conference GOY,A Triple angle Big East conference winner and a Big city Blowout side, which sholud win east as well. Jump on and make some nice change on Thursday.
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1 Unit on Oregon Ducks pk
Bottom Line: Oregon's upset loss to rival Oregon State and Arizona State's blowout win over Washington State sets up a very profitable situation tonight. In fact, plays on a home team off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite against an opponent off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival, are 28-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. We'll make a wager on this 77.8% system for 1 Unit tonight. Take the Ducks.
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San Fran +6 (1.1 Dime Free Play)
Teams winning and going over now playing any opponent as an away dog as 3-6.5 points are 25-7 ATS winning by an average margin of 1.3 points. That is the exact trend that San Fran falls under tonight against Loyolla Mary. If that last game where they won and over was at home which it was in this situation the trend improves to 19-3 ATS.
Marymount on the other hand who is 9-20 ATS in their last 29 home games and a team that went 3-28 last season is very young. They won 6 straight games and are living off that early success, but in their last game and first conference game they lost. This will be their first experience coming off a game where they had a let down. Loyolla Marymount has faced an easier schedule than San-Francisco thus far facing an average opponent with a .410 win% while San Fran has faced .584 win percentage.
San Fran beat up a team that is better than this Marymount team ranked higher in the RPI polls and have a stronger strength of schedule in San Diego winning by 16 points.
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"Your Vegas Is Showing"
I've been to Hollywood
I've been to Redwood
I crossed the ocean
for a heart of gold
I've been in my mind,
it's such a fine line
Later, The Team.
