NFL - King/Queen of the Hill Pool

[Teamlasvegas]

FYI - FWIW & OT

3* graded play on Eastern Illinois and as they face Murray State set to start at 8:00 EST . Our handicapping model shows that this is just too many points for Murray State to cover. Murray State is the clear favorite to win the OVC. They are coming off a solid win defeating Austin Peay 69-53 and were installed as 4 point favorites. EL has won 3 straight and 6 of the past 7. In their last game they destroyed SE Missouri State 88-68 as 10 point favorites. Murray State has used solid defense to generate offensive opportunities. We think that EI has the personnel to match up well against Murray State. Further, we have seen teams that have had 4 consecutive games playing strong defense keeping opponents to under 40% shooting fall flat in the next game. Murray State falls into this assessment noting that they are just 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus excellent teams shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% since 1997. EI is on a solid winning streak and has a lot going for it entering this game and the following system under scores this fact. This system has posted a 29-7 80.6% winning record since 1997. Play on road dogs of 10 to 19.5 points off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival facing an opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. Take Eastern Illinois.

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1 Unit on Hornets/76ers UNDER 199
Bottom Line: The Hornets have been an Unders machine and so has this matchup. The Under is 10-3 in the Hornets' last 13 overall and 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. The Under is also 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. With the Hornets having just played yesterday, they shouldn't have the energy to post a big number here. In fact, the Under is 5-1-1 in the Hornets' last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day, and 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Bet the Under.

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Toronto @ Indiana 7:05 PM EST
Play On: Toronto +2 1/2

Toronto is 19-18 overall this year while Indiana is 11-25 on the season. Toronto is 7-1 SU and ATS against Central Division opponents this year. Indiana is 2-9 ATS this year when the total is 210 or higher. Toronto is 8-2 SU their last 10 games overall. Indiana is 2-11 SU their last 13 games overall. Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Raptors are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Central. Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Pacers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Pacers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games following a SU loss. Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Raptors are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings. We'll recommend a small play on Toronto tonight! Thanks and good luck.