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Tuesday, August 18, 2009 12:06:38 AM
Hi, 3xBuba!
I should have posted this one last friday at the week's close to point out to a potential MAX Expansion event in this Expansion/Contraction Model (ECM), indicative of wide market contraction and price decline going forward. Still, here is the chart of Direxion's Bulls, broad indices and .
Superimposition of all three markets against price and MACD has provided me with some pretty reliable signals as the market nears or is in instance of completing a reversal.
Here, all Direxion's Bulls ETFs are expressed in relative strength against $SPX as a way to "remove" that background and emphasize that specific market segment.
Note also that as a whole, $SPX has weakened and since its decline, it has validated a channel that may or may not provide further directional guidance.
Finally, MACD is underlining that reversal with its own line cross-over and histogram zero-crossing signals. Its support trendline lacks validation for now, but it may be the target for this expected down-trend, if it continues.
See other charts below for broad market indices, $VIX crossing over its 50-EMA today for the first time since FEBRUARY 2009; and validation of $COMPQ's bearish channel:
$SPX : Direxion ETFs Relative Strength Chart:
$VIX And Synopsis of Major Indices (S&P, Nasdaq, DJIA) Chart:
$VIX And Synopsis of Major Indices (S&P 500, NYSE, Russell 2000) Chart:
$COMPQ - 36-Mo., Daily Chart:
- Dalcindo
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