Rawnoc, you don't seem to understand the Z score.
It does not predict where a company's share price is headed.
Rather, it is forecasting the likelihood/unlikelihood of BK (so indirectly it is telling you one direction of a company's share price only if certain criteria are met and a low score is achieved).
AYSI is not likely to go BK any time soon is what it tells us. Some other companies are much much closer to BK than AYSI is what it tells us.
It does not tell us if AYSI will be at $5 or 5 cents in the next year or two.
Don't you get tired of yourself LOL?
If the Z score had a 70%+ accuracy in predicting the direction of a company's share price, we'd all be rich before long.
Let me know when you invent a formula that can accurately call direction of share price looking out 2 years or can figure out how to do very well in this market (you've had two big implosions in your favorites this year so people may not believe you if you're trying to say you're doing well this year IMO but say what you will, AYSI has been my one decent sized implosion this year thus far but I am not budging from it anywhere around this level and in dollar terms it aint as big as it used to be in the port).
I don't mind stealing bread from the mouths of decadence... But I can't feed on the powerless when my cup's already overfilled.
-Temple of the Dog