I thought Alcoa was a bargain in Oct/Nov @ forward P/E of 4. It's 52 week low was 6.80. Alcoa then reported & gave sad guidance. And now (today) the forward P/E is 8.54 and it closed at 6.49. Will we see $5? It will get progressively worse because I can't see the aluminum demand yet. Bottom line? This is a very, very tricky market to analyze because the velocity of stats changing means you have to stay on top of it.