Thursday, May 29, 2008 3:18:54 PM
Just my opinion..
1) My hopeful specualtion:
Good RD outcome, pps goes in the mid-$1s, and multiple buyers are in the mix and COR gets taken out at somewhere between $2.50-$3.00 by a BP needing to buy some new stuff for their pipeline at a bargain price -OR- they partner with someone and stock goes up quickly into the $2s over the next month or so..
I sell the day of the buy-out announcement, or shortly after the partnership announcement.
2) My somewhat OK speculation:
Good RD outcome, pps goes in the mid-$1s, and no one strikes at the bait right away.. specualtion runs rabbid that COR will be running out of money soon, and folks will start to dump and run ahead of the possibility of financing. BPs wait until COR is back around .60-70ish ... They buy out COR somewhere close to $2, -OR- they decide to partner with COR as a solution to the money issue and ther PPS trickles back up to $2.00 over the course of 6 months or so...
I sell around $2..
3) My "maybe somebody else with make me $$ on AMPAs" scenario..
RD outcome bad, pps tanks to .30, and a BP quickly picks COR up off the scrap heap so it can have the IP for about .75 per share in a buyout..
I keep my shares (lock in today's current value of my COR shares @ .75) and let them turn into the new company's shares based on the fact that this acquiring company will have a great IP that they bought for pennies, and hopefully the money to develop the technology..
4) My "what a complete f'ing idiot I am to have ever speculated in a small biotech with the majority of my retirement $$" scenario.
RD outcome bad, pps tanks to .30, no interest from a BP, COR does reverse split, followed by devastating PIPE.. shares basically worth about .05/sh based on today's prices.. BPs find alternatives to COR technology (either other AMPA technology or AMPA alternatives) and COR dies on the vine..
I hold the shares until COR is delisted and eventually bankrupt and COR is like a nasty scar from a nasty childhood motorbike wreck..
My gut tells me that scenario #2 will happen.
Cheers..
And as always, just an opinion..
I think all the talk about $4+ is quite silly....
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