EcoloClean Industries (ECCI)

[d0lphint0m]

11:08 AM EDT on August 09, 2007

NOAA released their August Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook Update today. The forecast calls for a likely range of 13-16 named storms, 7-9 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes. The forecast is almost unchanged from their May 22 forecast of 13-17 named storms, 7-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes (a normal season has 10-11 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes). The forecast team cites the lack of El Nino, sea surface temperatures in the western tropical Atlantic and Caribbean Sea well above average (+0.56 C), and the elements shown in Figure 1 below, as justification for their continued forecast of much above normal hurricane activity this year. They also note:

Historically, similar conditions have typically produced 2-4 hurricane strikes in the continental United States and 2-3 hurricanes in the region around the Caribbean Sea. However, it is currently not possible to confidently predict at these extended ranges the number or intensity of landfalling hurricanes, or whether a given locality will be impacted by a hurricane this season.