For the "thin and light" notebook segment, I believe Flash hard drives will prevail due to MUCH smaller form factor and weight. For the desktop-replacement market, not so much because the notebook is being used as a desktop machine most of the time.
Notebooks are the fastest growing segment of the PC market. Road warrior "thin and light" notebooks constitute the fastest growing portion of the overall notebook market.
Who are the road warriors? Enterprise and government users.
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