Bigworld, The stock market has been heavily dependent upon the AI narrative for some time, no doubt about it. The whole AI thing does seem like a bubble, and it's risky having the entire market so dependent on one stock. Also lots of geopolitical risks right now - Middle East, Ukraine, plus the US election, etc.
Fwiw, I'm still working on a long term allocation strategy. On the one hand is the need to have some percentage allocated to stocks, so the question is how much? There are only so many allocation categories -- stocks, bonds, cash, hard assets.
With the debt bomb approaching (3-5 years?), I figure the hard asset side will increasingly be the place to be. For now I'm figuring 10-15% as the minimum allocation for stocks, with a max of 25-30%. Either way it's pretty conservative. The bond side I plan to start transitioning out of over the next 3 - 4 years.
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