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Saturday, 05/11/2024 2:52:52 AM

Saturday, May 11, 2024 2:52:52 AM

Post# of 201796
Taking Lightcounting market forecasts as a basis and assuming Lightwave could achieve a 50% marketshare in high speed transceivers ( 800G and up) - which is not ubiquity- and a low 10% marketshare in the incumbent market ( up to 200G) this would translate in a revenue ( assuming packaged modulators are 35% of total transceiver cost) of around 12 Billion times 35% is = $ 4.2 Billion over the next 5 years. Assume an OLED margin of 85% which results in $ 3.6 Billion profit over 5 years or 700 million average per year. Using OLED’ s Price/ Earnings ratio of 40 would than deliver a theoretical market capitalization of $ 28 Billions.
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