Lightwave Logic Inc (LWLG)

[prototype_101]

Matt, the answer is in the SAM/SOM goals Lebby has not backed down from these goals and in Belgium discussions my understanding he said these are likely to be increased now!! The SAM/SOM goals match EXACTLY to Lebby's long-standing Timeline for a Customer Acceptance and Ramp in 2024!!

Lebby provided SAM/SOM GOALS at ASM for 2024 to 2030

I built a detailed financial model using the SOM/SAM information for 800G and 1.6T pluggable transceivers and it shows a $5-10 billion market cap by 2028 using the "base case" SOM estimates.

It's not perfect, but probably the most precise model anyone has put together so far. A big unknown is the COGS and OPEX, but using 80-85% gross margin (like OLED) and knowing LWLG estimates around 50 employees at mass commercialization...it's probably close. My revenue estimates also center around the value of the modulators, and not necessarily revenue had in technology transfer agreements. I'm not sure how those agreements would be priced and if LWLG would offer a discount so to speak since someone else it spending the money in manufacturing.

This is all just for one application and there are endless applications for super small, fast and efficient modulators. Hell, I even found a white paper using a MZM-based sensors used as a "nose" for fermenting coffee and finding the most precise time to stop the fermenting process.

Now - IMO, the company will be bought out well before we ever hit $1 billion in revenue. That's fine with me. OLED hit $10-15B market cap with around $500 million in revenue.

-KCC

https://www.reddit.com/r/LWLG/comments/15f4un7/daily_trading_action_and_general_discussion/?