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Sunday, April 21, 2024 10:21:56 AM
By: Hedgopia | April 20, 2024
• Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 16, 2024.
Gold: Currently net long 201.9k, down 496.
Last Friday, gold printed a new intraday high of $2,449 but only to then reverse hard to close the session at $2,361. This behavior showed up after a vicious rally. Last October, the metal bottomed at $1,824 and tagged $2,047 as recently as March 1st. The Friday action could have set in motion a process of unwinding at least some of the overbought condition gold is in.
This week, gold did drop intraday Monday to $2,340 and that was it; the drop to the 10-day was bought, with the remaining four sessions just about trending higher all along the sharply-ascending average, ending the week up 2.2 percent to $2,414/ounce.
Non-commercials are in a wait-and-see mode, with net longs just north of 200,000 contracts in five of the last six weeks. They probably will start worrying if gold loses near-term support at $2,240s and most definitely if breakout retest at $2,080s fails. The yellow metal broke out of $2,080s early March.
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