Wednesday, December 27, 2023 1:03:58 PM
15-19 Jan (more likely)
8-12 Jan (if we are lucky)
22-26 Jan (2nd most likely)
(moved these to the right by 2 weeks if the graph mean "business days" instead of net/overall/calendar days, which would mean 22-26 Jan (if we lucky), 29 Jan- 2nd Feb (more likely), 5-9 Feb (2nd more likely).
Based on Hoff own graph.
Look at the average days in Dec 2022, not Nov 2023...
-Governement agency, lots of key people use Christmas/New years leave. This is why you see such a spike on applications made late in December/January. And the small backlog (longer processing time Feb-March) following these key personnel taking leave. Not much work will be done before the 8 Jan. (governement agency, remember)
-Add to this the size of the application itself, novel drug, complex, look more at the longer time average as oppose to the quickest time average.
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