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Saturday, 09/30/2023 1:27:10 PM

Saturday, September 30, 2023 1:27:10 PM

Post# of 866
Open RAN—where are we vs. where we’re going

https://www.rcrwireless.com/20230926/uncategorized/open-ran-where-we-are-vs-where-were-going


Post from 5G Americas (@5GAmericas)

5G Americas (@5GAmericas) posted at 10:07 AM on Sat, Sep 30, 2023:

OpenRAN—where are we vs. where we’re going

https://t.co/08mGywBM5i (


https://reddit.com/r/EdgewaterWireless/s/sH4k8II1xu





With Dell’Oro Group estimating that Open RAN manufacturer revenues accounted for a mid-single digit share ($2 billion to $3 billion) of the total $40 billion annual RAN market in 2022, analyst Stefan Pongratz expects disaggregated radio systems to steadily grow through the end of the decade. Based on projections shared during the Open RAN Global Forum, available on demand, Pongratz sees the segment growing to around 10% of total by 2025 and around 15% by 2030.

To set the stage, Pongratz detailed the six core pillars of O-RAN: open interfaces, multi-vendor, intelligence, interoperability, vRAN/cloud RAN, and automation. “Most everybody is on the same wavelength, so to speak, in terms of the main pillars,” he said. For Dell’Oro’s part, a deployment needs to only tick the box associated with open interfaces to be counted.



Looking through the end of the decade, Pongratz expected more scaled adoption of Open RAN in the 2025 timeframe, especially as major European operators chip away at long-term deployment commitments. At the midpoint of the decade, he said, “In general, we believe we will be in a better position from a cost, timing, performance parity [perspective], and more importantly from buy-in by established players.”

The last point on buy-in, he said, could serve as a significant catalyst for the overall market. In fact, in September Ericsson announced it will “lead the industrialization of O-RAN by putting support for open fronthaul in its Cloud RAN portfolio beginning in 2024. That said, “There’s of course not going to be a magic silver bullet,” Pongratz said.