Mr Cooper Group Inc (COOP)

[t1215s]

FYI, If you look at the Bloomberg Economic Surprise monitor, housing is the strongest category relative to expectations.spoke about the hot housing market last week on an episode of the podcast with Ali Wolf, the Chief Economist at Zonda. Along with the episode, Ali sent us over a bunch of charts from her own data, including this one which mentions that a third of builders are concerned about their own credit conditions, and possible constraints they may face when it comes to meeting the market.

Despite higher rates, and the collapse of multiple banks, there's scant evidence of a major collapse in credit availability. Things seem to be tightening, but so far not dramatically. Nonetheless, this speaks to some of the perverse effects of rate hikes. In theory, they cool demand. And maybe they're doing that. But they also play a role in supply. And reducing the number of new homes that get built, because at the margin some builders have less access to financing, doesn't really help anyone.

https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/ipXM7spRj4xo/v0/-1x-1.png

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FYI.
Charles Schwab: Another 13.6 Billion Reasons To Be Bullish
May 15, 2023 12:15 PM ETThe Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)23

The management team at The Charles Schwab Corporation announced some rather interesting data for the month of April.
The company saw net inflows of client assets as well as other impressive financial changes.
These data points give investors additional reason to be bullish about the business moving forward.
Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Crude Value Insights get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate.

One of the nine companies that I currently own shares in is The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE:SCHW). As of this writing, the company is my smallest holding, making up only 4.1% of my portfolio. But that doesn't mean that I don't have a tremendous amount of faith in it.

Earlier this year, because of the banking crisis, the business came into focus and some investors had doubts about the stability of the enterprise. But given the nature of the operation, how diverse its business model is, and relying on data that has come out since then, I have been incredibly bullish. And on May 12th, the management team at the company revealed even more reasons why investors should be optimistic about the firm moving forward.

Solid data

The past couple of months have been really hard for shareholders of Charles Schwab from a share price perspective. Since the end of February, which was right before the banking crisis began, shares of the enterprise have fallen 37.2%. That's a massive decline and underscores just how worried about the business investors and market watchers are. But at the end of the day, it's not the concern that investors have that matters. Rather, it's the data that is reported by management that ultimately determines how things are going. And when that data is solid, investors should use the low share price of the business as an opportunity to buy in or to increase their stake in the company.

The most recent data provided by management that is noteworthy came out on May 12th. This was in the form of the monthly activity report that management comes out with every month. At top of mind, at least for me, was the account data provided by management. During April, the company reported an additional 331,000 brokerage accounts being opened on its platform. This falls nicely in the typical range for the company over the past several months. For context, this number in March was 378,000. Back in April of last year, it totaled 386,000. For those worried that the most recent reading might indicate a weakening in the company's value proposition, keep in mind that, from April of last year through April of this year, 9 different months had new brokerage account additions lower than what the company achieved last month.

Actual active brokerage accounts were a slightly different story. This number also rose, but the increase was less than the 331,000 reported. For the month, the company had 34.25 million active brokerage accounts on its platform. This was 128,000 above what it was in March of last year and represented an increase of 489,000 compared to April 2022. In fact, the number reported for April was the highest on record for the company. No matter how you stack it, that's a positive outcome for shareholders. The number of banking accounts for the company also hit a high of just under 1.76 million. That compares to the 1.75 million reported one month earlier and the 1.65 million reported in April of last year. It's also worth noting that the company recorded 530,700 customers receiving what management calls "investor services" during the month. That's up from the 526,200 seen one month earlier and compares nicely to the 509,300 reported in April of last year. Meanwhile, the number receiving 'advisor services' grew to 3.39 million. This number was 3.37 million one month earlier and stood at 3.19 million in April of 2022.

We should shift some at this point to the assets the company holds. There are two different measures of changes to the assets on the company's books. The first and more volatile is what management calls new market gains or losses. This is largely associated with returns or losses experienced in accounts based on fluctuating security prices. In April, this was only $37.9 billion. But considering this number fluctuates significantly with market conditions, I don't have any qualms on this.

More important in my eyes would be the net new assets they have come onto the platform. After a massive haul of $72.9 billion in the month of March, the company experienced a net inflow of $13.6 billion in April. While this is smaller than the typical $20 billion to $50 billion that the company historically achieves, it's not unexpected. In fact, in April of last year, the company saw a net outflow of $9.2 billion. Management attributes the weakness in the month of April to its clients taking out capital in order to pay taxes. This makes a tremendous amount of sense. There is a separate measure of this called core net new assets. This basically adjusts for large acquisitions and other one-time events. The company unfortunately did see a net outflow of $2.3 billion for the month. But again, that was better than the $9.2 billion in outflow reported one year earlier.

Although some investors will point out the declining bank account figures, I would argue that, on the whole, The Charles Schwab Corporation is doing really well for itself. The total value of its assets came in at $7.63 trillion for the month of April. This was up nicely from the $7.58 trillion reported in March, and it's up from those $7.28 billion reported for April of last year. Almost all The Charles Schwab Corporation metrics that matter are continuing to grow and, I would argue, the business is healthier than it was even a year ago.

Given how this data looks and how much shares have fallen in recent weeks, I cannot help but rate The Charles Schwab Corporation a "strong buy." I likely will use some incoming capital to increase my stake in the company a bit more.

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https://seekingalpha.com/article/4604619-charles-schwab-another-13-6-billion-reasons-to-be-bullish

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