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Saturday, April 22, 2023 8:38:46 AM
I agree one should always consider risk as well as upside. Filter out all the noise -- most of what gets discussed -- and just make one forecast: what are the odds the UK regulators approve the MAA? That's 90% of the risk and 90% of the reward.
What's the timing of the MAA submission? Soon, but it's noise. No opinions should change if the filing is May or June.
Will they get regulatory approval in Canada? Correlated with UK approval, so stay focused on UK.
Will they get regulatory approval in US? Correlated with UK approval, so stay focused on UK. Timing? Noise
Will we see combo with industry partners? Correlated with UK submission / approval, so stay focused on UK.
MAA approval changes everything. Company value will discount all the above and more. Easier access to institutional capital. Easier to negotiate attractive combo partnerships. The company will jump onto the acquisition priority list of several big pharma cos.
...and, upon UK approval, Feuerstein will Tweet...?
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