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Re: dabonenose post# 25402

Monday, 03/20/2023 1:31:51 PM

Monday, March 20, 2023 1:31:51 PM

Post# of 28482
I'm curious to see if they raise rates or just hold off...going to be a big decision...I'm sitting 90% cash today because I see no need to commit to one side or other until the rate decision...my plan:

0.25 raise: shotgun 50% back into puts for next 3 weeks
no raise: sit back with 90% cash.
-0.25 cut: 50% back in 401k, sell all puts, load calls hand over fist.

I think they'll do +0.25 based on 10 year still not playing ball at 3.50 again as it turtles up...
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