Thursday, December 15, 2022 10:52:42 AM
He might have a dirty, kind of disheveled rabbit to pull out.
I've had many discussions about having a buyout for a "bad" price for many investors, but which would get Denner and other funds that entered relatively recently an acceptable exit point. It's not a glorious $20 buyout, or even a "I'll grumble and take it" $10 buyout, but something more in the $5-7 range that he profits somewhat on and allows him to GTFO without taking a big blackeye.
Obviously that hinges on him having, or getting, the leverage to accomplish that, which is obviously a wildcard.
One thing about a "bad" buyout still being plausible is that Vascepa has a gigantic profit margin when you compare product cost vs selling price. Amarin needs this massive profit margin to keep the lights on, but a BP doesn't, they can make it up in volume and massively reduced running costs. If Pfizer is selling Vascepa, the costs of Pfizer's CEO, their electrical bills, their reps, their IR department and so on are all spread over Pfizer's profits from their massive portfolio while with Amarin, all those costs depend solely on Vascepa profits. The cost of a $2 Billion buyout could be recouped relatively quickly by a BP while $2 billion in net profits for Amarin may never actually happen.
I've had many discussions about having a buyout for a "bad" price for many investors, but which would get Denner and other funds that entered relatively recently an acceptable exit point. It's not a glorious $20 buyout, or even a "I'll grumble and take it" $10 buyout, but something more in the $5-7 range that he profits somewhat on and allows him to GTFO without taking a big blackeye.
Obviously that hinges on him having, or getting, the leverage to accomplish that, which is obviously a wildcard.
One thing about a "bad" buyout still being plausible is that Vascepa has a gigantic profit margin when you compare product cost vs selling price. Amarin needs this massive profit margin to keep the lights on, but a BP doesn't, they can make it up in volume and massively reduced running costs. If Pfizer is selling Vascepa, the costs of Pfizer's CEO, their electrical bills, their reps, their IR department and so on are all spread over Pfizer's profits from their massive portfolio while with Amarin, all those costs depend solely on Vascepa profits. The cost of a $2 Billion buyout could be recouped relatively quickly by a BP while $2 billion in net profits for Amarin may never actually happen.
Recent AMRN News
- Amarin Highlights New REDUCE-IT Analysis Showing Risk-Weighted ApoB May Improve Cardiovascular Risk Detection (AMRN) • IH Market News • 05/27/2026 03:24:38 PM
- New REDUCE-IT® Analysis Presented at the European Atherosclerosis Society (EAS) Congress 2026 Suggests Risk-Weighted ApoB May Improve Identification of Residual Cardiovascular Risk in Statin-Treated Patients with Hypertriglyceridemia • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 05/27/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Earnings Report Shows Narrowing Losses as Amarin (AMRN) Advances Partner-Led Growth Strategy • IH Market News • 04/29/2026 02:19:17 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/29/2026 11:06:34 AM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/29/2026 11:05:15 AM
- Amarin Reports 2026 First Quarter Financial Results • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/29/2026 11:00:00 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/22/2026 09:00:06 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 09:00:07 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 09:00:05 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 09:00:04 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 09:00:04 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 09:00:03 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/21/2026 09:00:02 PM
- Amarin to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Host Conference Call on April 29, 2026 • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/15/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form ARS - Annual Report to Security Holders • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/10/2026 09:01:34 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/10/2026 09:00:20 PM
- American College of Cardiology (ACC) Scientific Sessions 2026 Underscore the Need for Complementary Therapies Including Icosapent Ethyl (IPE) in Treatment of Elevated Triglycerides and Cardiovascular Risk Reduction • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 04/08/2026 12:00:00 PM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 04/02/2026 08:30:11 PM
- Form PRE 14A - Other preliminary proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/30/2026 09:57:06 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/27/2026 09:00:07 PM
- Amarin Highlights Guideline Recommended Role of Icosapent Ethyl in Managing Cardiovascular Risk Following Release of Updated 2026 ACC/AHA/Multisociety Dyslipidemia Guideline • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/18/2026 12:30:00 PM
- New REDUCE-IT Data in Patients at Extreme Cardiovascular Risk and In Vitro Research on the Mechanistic Effects of Eicosapentaenoic Acid (EPA) on Lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] Oxidation to be Presented at the American College of Cardiology’s (ACC) Annual Scienti • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/16/2026 12:15:00 PM
- Form 10-K - Annual report [Section 13 and 15(d), not S-K Item 405] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/02/2026 10:31:01 PM
- Effects of Icosapent Ethyl on Risk and Duration of Hospitalizations and Death in REDUCE-IT® Post Hoc Analysis Published in the European Journal of Preventive Cardiology • GlobeNewswire Inc. • 03/02/2026 01:00:00 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/25/2026 12:05:26 PM
