Here's two of the best charts for this, INDU and IWM both need to breach that pink diagonal line, doesn't need much, just a definitive break. For time, if the drop was a controlled one like previous it would take a month, but if it waterfalls down it could do it in half the time. That's my best. EDIT: notice both tagged the top fork tine today http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=%24INDU&p=120&st=2020-01-01&en=2022-11-30&i=p64903069444&a=627530722&r=1666883792500&r=1666884566186 http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=IWM&p=120&st=2020-03-02&en=2022-11-09&i=p37489012673&a=462160483&r=1666883556122&r=1666884392850