GOLDBUGS AMEX Goldbugs Index (GOLD)

[4Godnwv]

Notes From the Rabbit Hole

Oncoming gold stock bull
As the proper macro fundamentals for gold mining grind into place…

The real price of gold, as represented on the chart below by gold in relation to commodities, is constructive to have bottomed. As inflation expectations continue to fade with the Fed still in hawk mode this should continue, in order to confirm a bottom.

A majority of gold bugs seem to think that gold stocks have utility against inflation, but they do not. Commodities, which are cyclical, and commodity related stocks have that utility. Gold stocks benefit from fading cyclical inflation as commodities such as mining cost input crude oil decline in relation to gold.

The Gold/CRB ratio (GLD/DBC shown here) is posturing for an attempt to break the downtrend that has been in place since the precious metals began their correction in mid-2020 amid a rampant cyclical inflationary backdrop.

Full article (including two very interesting GLD:SPY & HUI:SPY charts:
https://nftrh.com/2022/09/30/oncoming-gold-stock-bull/