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[Nightdaytrader]

Morgan Stanley expects the S&P 500 to plunge another 15%-25% within the next four months — use these 3 top recession-resistant stocks for protection

Jing Pan

Fri, September 9, 2022 at 8:35 AM·
4 min read

If you think the stock market selloff has come to an end, Morgan Stanley has some bad news.

The S&P 500 is already down 17% year to date, but the Wall Street juggernaut believes the market has yet to hit a bottom.

“Our '22/'23/'24 base case estimates are now 3%/13%/14% below consensus, respectively,” a team of Morgan Stanley analysts led by Mike Wilson write in a recent note to investors. “In our base case, 2023 now marks a modest earnings contraction (-3% year-over-year growth), though we do not embed an economic recession in this scenario.”

“While acknowledging the poor performance in equities year-to-date, we do not think the bear market is over if our earnings forecasts are correct.”

The analysts expect the S&P 500 to fall to 3,400 by year-end. And if a recession hits the economy, they say the benchmark index could drop to 3,000.

Considering that the S&P 500 sits at around 3,980 right now, Morgan Stanley’s projection implies a further downside of 15% to 25%.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/morgan-stanley-expects-p-500-133500318.html