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Re: stiv post# 2158

Saturday, 09/03/2022 9:19:36 PM

Saturday, September 03, 2022 9:19:36 PM

Post# of 2188
Here is a read for you. I found it informative and timely. GLTY

There have been only three 2.5 sigma bubbles in the last 100 Years...1929, 2000 and now!

https://www.gmo.com/americas/research-library/entering-the-superbubbles-final-act/

...the three near-perfect markets with crazy investor behavior and 2.5+ sigma overvaluation have always been followed by big market declines of 50%. The papers said nothing about fundamentals except to expect some deterioration. Now here we are, having experienced the first leg down of the bubble bursting and a substantial bear market rally, and we find the fundamentals are far worse than expected.

The whole world is now fixated on the growth-reducing implications of inflation, rates, and wartime issues such as the energy squeeze. In addition, there are several less obvious short-term problems. Meanwhile, the long-term problems of demographics, resources, and climate are only getting worse and now are beginning to bite even in the short run.


My posts are my opinion. Always trade at your own risk.

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