many stocks are much worse then their indices the reason the market moves up or down so violently now then ever before is not just the 80 pct computer trades. more ETF's then ever
so each time an etf moves up or down the stocks in that etf must be bought or sold to match . It is seen when an EFT gaps up stocks then lag a bit and must catch up.
The one unpredictable thing is the Ukraine war and Putin's health. History just repeats over and over. As Germany was losing the war Hitler's health declined he then blamed the generals and fired them. He then took over the reins and the Germans lost badly. Putin now doing the same. The last time Russia got involved in a big war in Afghanistan and it bankrupted them and communism collapsed. Things will get better but it will take time.
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