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Friday, December 31, 2021 7:08:07 AM
1. We know that the potential addressable market for solid tumor cancer is millions of cases.
2. We know that NWBO believes their platform is potentially applicable to that market (they even put it on a presentation slide which was shared on this board recently).
3. We know that the current P3 trial is targeting both newly diagnosed GBM patients and recurrent GBM patients. That combined market is quite large.
4. IF (with the help of Flaskworks technology) they can be in a position by the end of 2022 to treat 75,000 patients in 2023 that would lead to a price per share of about $173.44 using a 1.2 billion outstanding share count.
Here are the assumptions to support that math:
$185,000 price per patient
75,000 patients projected to be treated in 2023
1.2 Billion shares outstanding
15 multiple
$173.44/share
If you are more pessimistic and assume capacity and demand for just 30,000 patients per yr the result would be $69.38/share.
People simply throw out numbers without any basis. I would not be surprised at all if the company can ramp to capacity for more than 30,000 by the end of 2022/beginning of 2023.
Happy New Yr!
Recent NWBO News
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/15/2026 10:06:20 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/02/2026 10:14:59 PM
- Form DEF 14A - Other definitive proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/28/2025 09:43:27 PM
- Form EFFECT - Notice of Effectiveness • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/26/2025 05:15:34 AM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/25/2025 10:23:07 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/20/2025 09:26:03 PM
- Form PRE 14A - Other preliminary proxy statements • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/19/2025 09:15:48 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 11/14/2025 09:44:21 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/31/2025 04:29:10 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/30/2025 08:40:05 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/24/2025 04:28:38 PM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 10/14/2025 06:22:26 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/14/2025 09:00:38 PM
- Form 424B5 - Prospectus [Rule 424(b)(5)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 07/01/2025 09:04:38 PM
- Form 10-K - Annual report [Section 13 and 15(d), not S-K Item 405] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/31/2025 09:23:24 PM
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