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Re: None

Thursday, 11/11/2021 1:25:07 PM

Thursday, November 11, 2021 1:25:07 PM

Post# of 698578
senti/flipper/ other confident longs, help me see why there's no discrepancy in your thinking between senti's stickied post that says "The odds of them failing their primary and secondary endpoints are practically nil... especially with regards to the primary" and alphapuppy's video (
) which ends up with a P-value of .04 when comparing to historical controls.

Isn't a p-val of 0.04 worryingly close to the alpha of 0.05, and therefore nowhere near a chance of "practically nil" of not reaching statistical significance? Not sure how I missed the video last year but this was my first time seeing it, and I'm glad it has made many others confident but to me it relayed the opposite effect.
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