Anavex Life Sciences Corp (AVXL)

[wildcard235]

Nidan, the Stock Loan Borrow (SLB) rate for AVXL at Interactive Brokers has been negligibly low for a long time. It has even gone under 1% and stayed there for a while now.

The SLB metric was an accurate predictor of the last Short & Distort attack (https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortanddistort.asp) against AVXL, in November 2015 I think. The SLB was high and trending higher in the few weeks before a major release of data results and spiked to way over 100% a day or two prior to the release. That was the Short part, and the key indicator that a distortion campaign would follow. What hedge fund manager would risk multiple millions in a huge short against results yet to be revealed without having a way to ensure their bet would win?

The Distort part of the crime started weeks before the data release with several baseless attack articles, but shifted into high gear right on the heels of the extremely positive news press release of data results from Anavex. Hit pieces were published all day and for the next several days, beginning with a long one that was published within 3 minutes of the press release revealing the data. It is impossible that such a long article could have been written in such a short time after the press release. It had to have been written beforehand. It was a generic attack full of baseless and irrelevant criticisms of the company and disparaging the astonishingly good news without citing any valid criticisms. Many more articles followed, having taken the time to at least skim the data results to cite something specific and to then level an invalid criticism. Often these articles cited old defamatory claims that had been debunked repeatedly on the old Yahoo message board.

High-frequency trading rode the coattails of the distortions and succeeded in driving the price/share down sharply, which caught countless stop-loss orders on the way down, each of which accelerated the price drop.

A Short & Distort attack is fraud, and it is a crime. Complaints were filed at the SEC, and the SEC did nothing, as the SEC has never done anything to fight these types of crime.

This time the SLB rate is near rock bottom. There is no rise in the rate, so there is no sustained rise. That is the strongest possible signal I am aware of that no S&D attack preparation has begun. If I see that change, I will post that information on this board immediately.

I think a late-starting S&D attack is not likely to come for 2 main reasons:

1.) WallStreetBets hammered the major shorts for multiple billions in losses, and they do not appear to have returned to business as was usual.

2.) The recent peer-reviewed article may have destroyed the ability for corrupt financial "journalists" and others to successfully but falsely claim that Anavex 2-73 is based on bad science or raise irrelevant issues.

I suspect we are about to see what would have happened in November 2015 if there had not been a fraudulent S&D attack against Anavex.

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If you want a little more insight into those old days, here is a rebuttal article I wrote to a hit piece published shortly before the data release, I think: https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/40909465-jdlambert/4535316-anavex-life-sciences-attacked-hack-too-many-dishonest-red-flags