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Tuesday, June 15, 2021 1:20:30 PM
If the past is any guide.
The 2019 term: This term had two unscheduled conferences at the end, so by definition all the cases were re-distributed. At that last conference, six were granted and three were denied – and there were no more. Most were Government agency cases that had been percolating for months. These were cases that had been thought about for awhile, and decisions had to be made. At the next to last unscheduled conference, most cases were pushed forward from last scheduled conference. Five were granted, ten were denied. Contrast these two unscheduled with last scheduled conference: zero granted, approximately 110 denied.
The 2018 term had an unscheduled conference at the end, where cert was granted to 13 cases and cert was denied for 12 cases. Of the cases granted, all had been distributed for the last scheduled conference, and then got bumped forward. Half were Trump Administration cases that had been distributed multiple times. The last scheduled conference had 8 certs granted and 100+ denied. The grants had been distributed at at least the immediately preceding conference as well. Another unscheduled conference preceded the last scheduled conference – five complex financial cases involving Puerto Rico were consolidated and granted cert; no other cases were considered.
The 2017 term: at a final, unscheduled conference, seven cases were granted cert and 19 were denied. At the preceding scheduled conference, seven were granted and a jillion denied. All of the grantees had been distributed for the immediately prior conference as well.
The 2016 term: at a final, unscheduled conference, six were granted cert and 7 were denied. At preceding scheduled conference, two were granted and a jillion denied. Both the grantees had been distributed for the immediately prior conference as well.
[My use of the term “unscheduled” means that the conference was not listed on the Supreme Court calendar, which are probably drawn up before term begins.]
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