Tesla Inc (TSLA)

[la-tsla-fan]

Further to my earlier post:

Tesla's average vehicle sale price in Q4 2020 was $9.31 billion / 180,570 cars = $51,559 per car
Tesla's other revenues in Q4 2020 = $10.78 - 9.31 billion = $1.47 billion

The latest analyst estimates (see https://www.zacks.com/stock/quote/TSLA/detailed-estimates) are as follows:
Revenues: Low estimate is $8.37 billion
High estimate is $11.10 billion
Zacks' consensus estimate is $9.92 billion.

My personal hope is that TSLA will beat the high number based on the following:

Auto Revenue = $50,000 * 184,800 = $9.24 billion
Auto Regulatory credits = 0.4 billion (same as Q4 2020)
Tesla Total Revenues = $10.78 billion

By difference, other revenues (energy, investment gains, etc.) = $1.54 billion

For Q1 2021, investment performance will include about $1 billion gain on bitcoin. Even if energy business stayed constant (highly unlikely)

Other revenues in Q1 2021 will be about $2.5 billion.

Therefore total revenues will be at least $11.7 billion.

The question in my mind is how much of a bet can I place on these numbers? AND we know not a thing about how much net income Tesla will choose to show. Remember Tesla 'missed' on note earnings in Q4 2020. My second question is what is the analyst with the low revenue number smoking?