Mets should be good, and they do have depth for a change as well, alhough the bullpen is the only thing I don't feel overly confident about but every team has a weakness.
I don't see the division like you do. I think the marlins will not repeat that magical run they had with 60 games hence I think they will be a 20 game under type team. Secondly Philly doesn't have the rotation depth, and I'm not sold on there bullpen either. So I don't think they have the pitching. You have to be concerned with the nats because for them to be a contender Both Strasburg has to return to health, and schzerer has to prove age ain't catching up with him. I still don't think there lineup is as deep either.
I personally think the phillies and Nats will be like 500 teams give or take a few games. The marlins are a 20 under kind of team. And the mets and Braves should be in the 90's. To me Actually I think the NL playoff race I think should be Braves and mets loser gets wildcard. Same with Dodgers and Padres. And cardinals in a landslide. That to me barring injury is and should be the nl playoffs, I don't think there is another team a case can be made for as those are the 5 best teams on paper in my opinion, but the games are not played on paper in my opinion. so we will see.