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Re: Vango54 post# 295745

Wednesday, 02/03/2021 12:59:55 PM

Wednesday, February 03, 2021 12:59:55 PM

Post# of 461289
Thank you but it is fairly simple formula. Buy and hold, buy the dips periodically or accuulate in huge chunks like AVXL Dec 2018 at $1.26.
The dynamic of AVXL right now is I believe there is a larger than reported short interest and certainly those positions were expanded today. The most important dynamic is Missling has taken a hiatus from stock sales this has a similar effect as stock buybacks in demand/supply. Because there has been a price suppression due to the trickle periodic say weekly or biweekly LPC mATM sales. Short sellers based their models on these sales so now the risk is under estimated.
They may not have unwound in time and hedging with long calls and the spike today was too tasty for them not to short.
Therefore over time and especially in mid February there should be upward pressure do to short interest.
Wall Street 100% controls the vertical axis that is price any day or week however long investors together with fundamentals and events control the horizontal axis at all times and the vertical axis on a quarter to quarter basis.
Do proper DD, buy the dips and hold and accumulate periodically for years. Ingnore the vertical axis. One can not change it so don't sweat is and for goodness sake don't get emotional about it. Big drops are great to buy.
Hold for the moon!
Anavex has been one of my best investments of all time and I did very little trading of it and did not buy intially for less than $4 but averaged up and down over the years. Someone mentioned $36 in a post yesterday coincidentally that is the exact number I had initially valued Avavex in 2015. I value it at market cap now $3 to 7 billion before ALZ approval just on market acceptance of potential alone. Some of the other ones I invested in last 5 years have already mooned. Sage and Arrowhead.
For an example of a slow 18 month short squeeze look at Boeing after Goldman Saks big short peaking in Feb 2016 suppressing stock to $108 and the rise to over $400 over the next 18 months. Boeing was buying back stock dominating the time axis. What Missling is doing now is a kin to stock buybacks he is altering the supply/demand from halting share sales.
I think Missling planned this to coincide with the results of the P3. I had thought that AVXL would launch from a submerged or undervalued position like a Polaris A2 but now I think it may be an Air Launch like an ALCM. At any rate the Anavex Missile is out of the tube and I do not think it will come back to earth.
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