Transportation Innovation

[gfp927z]

>>> 20 electric vehicle stocks besides Tesla and Nio that analysts expect to rise the most over the next year


MarketWatch

Dec. 2, 2020

By Philip van Doorn


https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-electric-vehicle-stocks-outside-of-tesla-and-nio-expected-by-analysts-to-rise-the-most-over-the-next-year-11606926496?siteid=yhoof2


Analysts favor companies that supply EV manufacturers or develop technology to support infrastructure and autonomous driving.

General Motors will begin selling its new all-electric Hummer in late 2021. (General Motors)

The electric vehicle revolution is real.

A few years ago, did you believe it was possible for Tesla Inc. TSLA, +5.32% to make and sell half a million cars a year? Well, the company made 145,036 electric vehicles during the third quarter and delivered 139,593.

But you may not want to jump on a stock that has risen so much this year. There are many other ways to play the EV trend and related development of autonomous driving technology. A screen of companies in a broad array of industries connected to EVs is below.

There’s no question that EVs will continue to storm the auto market. General Motors Co. GM, +1.47% plans to have 30 fully electric models available by 2025, with 40% of its vehicles available in the U.S. being EVs by the end of that year.

President-elect Joe Biden has said that he favors the continued tightening of fuel economy standards for internal combustion (ICE) vehicles. Ever-increasing pressure on ICE vehicle manufacturers from governments around the world, as well as tax incentives for EVs, mean the writing is on the wall, even if the transition in the U.S. is a long one.

Meanwhile, it seems there are new competitors jumping into the EV space every day.

Expensive and cheap

A problem for new investors in the sector is runaway share prices for some of the best-known and rapidly growing companies.

Shares of Tesla are up 600% this year. This means the stock has gotten way ahead of analysts’ estimates and price targets. Among 36 sell-side analysts polled by FactSet, only 13 rate the shares “buy” or the equivalent. The consensus price target of $396.40 is 32% below the stock’s closing price of $584.76 on Dec. 1. The shares trade for 162 times the consensus earnings estimate for the next 12 months. Of course, the analysts’ 12-month horizons for price targets may be considered too short by long-term investors.

Nio Inc.’s NIO, +2.98% American depositary receipts closed at $45.36 on Dec. 1, up more than 10-fold this year, but down 15% from a week earlier. Among 13 analysts covering Nio, nine rate the shares a buy, but the consensus price target is lower: $42.25. There is no price-to-earnings ratio available for Nio, as the company is expected to continue operating at a loss.

Getting back to GM, the shares were up 22% year-to-date through Dec. 2, but were trading for only 6.7 times the consensus earnings estimate for the next 12 months. That is a very low P/E ratio for a company with strong cash flow making such a deep commitment to a rapidly growing high-tech industry. (In comparison, the forward P/E ratio for the S&P 500 SPX, +0.58% is 22.3, according to FactSet.) Among the 17 analysts polled by FactSet who cover GM, 14 rate the shares a buy or the equivalent, and the consensus price target implies 10% upside over the next 12 months.

Three ETFs and a stock screen

As we discussed with five professional investors in September, it is a good idea to look beyond the vehicle manufacturers themselves when seeking investments that will rise as the world switches to EVs.

To come up with a broad list of related stocks, we looked at the holdings of three ETFs:


SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF HAIL, +1.22% — 56 stocks, largest holding: Nio (12.6%).

Global X Autonomous & Electric Vehicles ETF DRIV, +0.73% — 75 stocks, largest holding: Tesla (4%).

iShares Self-driving EV & Tech ETF IDRV, +0.81% — 100 stocks, largest holding: Tesla (9.3%).


Adding the three portfolio groups together and removing duplicates left a list of 165 stocks, including 74 listed in the U.S.

Here are the 20 stocks covered by at least 10 analysts, with at least two-thirds at “buy” or equivalent ratings, with the most implied upside potential for the next 12 months, based on consensus price targets.

COMPANY TICKER COUNTRY INDUSTRY SHARE 'BUY' RATINGS CLOSING PRICE - DEC. 2 CONSENSUS PRICE TARGET IMPLIED 12-MONTH UPSIDE POTENTIAL FORWARD P/E TOTAL RETURN - 2020 THROUGH DEC. 2

HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD. JP:7267 JAPAN MOTOR VEHICLES 100% 2,899.50 3,678.13 27% 10.3 -4%

Iljin Materials Co. Ltd. KR:020150 South Korea
Electronic Production Equipment 100% 46,800.00 59,000.00 26% 29.4 9%

Hyundai Mobis Co., Ltd KR:012330 South Korea Industrial Machinery 96% 242,500.00 302,500.00 25% 8.1 -5%

Hyundai Motor Co. KR:005380 South Korea Motor Vehicles 96% 183,500.00 228,884.61 25% 8.4 52%

Honda Motor Co. Ltd. ADR HMC Japan Motor Vehicles 100% 28.36 34.63 22% 10.0 2%

Ballard Power Systems Inc. CA:BLDP Canada Electrical Products 82% 25.83 31.33 21% N/A 178%

Baidu, Inc. ADR Class A BIDU China Internet Software/Services 75% 140.26 169.20 21% 15.3 11%

KIA Motors Corp. KR:000270 South Korea Motor Vehicles 100% 59,800.00 71,115.38 19% 7.3 35%

Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. KR:005930 South Korea Telecommunications Equipment 91% 67,800.00 79,076.19 17% 14.4 24%

Volkswagen AG Pref. DE:VOW3 Germany Motor Vehicles 74% 147.36 169.81 15% 6.0 -13%

LG Chem Ltd. KR:051910 South Korea Chemicals: Specialty 97% 809,000.00 930,862.06 15% 26.8 155%

Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co. Ltd. KR:009150 South Korea Electronic Components 100% 162,000.00 184,035.72 14% 16.5 30%

Microsoft Corp. MSFT U.S. Packaged Software 91% 216.21 243.92 13% 32.0 39%

Siemens AG DE:SIE Germany Industrial Conglomerates 69% 112.94 125.38 11% 20.4 11%

Micron Technology, Inc. MU U.S. Semiconductors 80% 67.08 74.23 11% 18.6 25%

General Motors Co. GM U.S. Motor Vehicles 82% 44.68 49.27 10% 6.6 24%

NVIDIA Corp. NVDA U.S. Semiconductors 77% 535.60 590.26 10% 47.9 128%

Analog Devices, Inc. ADI U.S. Semiconductors 83% 140.73 154.85 10% 24.9 20%

Magna International Inc. CA:MG Canada Auto Parts: OEM 67% 80.37 87.22 9% 9.2 17%

Alphabet Inc. Class A GOOGL U.S. Internet Software/Services 88% 1,795.36 1,929.15 7% 30.3 34%

FactSet

The table includes a lot of data, including forward P/E ratios, which you can see if you scroll to the right. Share prices and targets are in local currencies.

<<<