Thursday, December 03, 2020 7:04:16 PM
I don't need you to sell, the market will take care of itself... but things to think about if you want to protect your capital... the cheapest way is doing your own homework.... get opposing opinions...
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/the-great-american-bubble-machine-195229/
Was it the VS trading desk or a clients desk that needed the bump? The famous article is where squid name comes from and it has stuck. Notice the timing of the article ...2010 and it states another one is coming... history repeats itself... including bubbles will pop... as for response, I don't care about shaking shares loose... that will happen... and yes the shorts have lost to date. But when Chanos is only reducing his bet (funds as limits as to percentage amounts). Chanos is a famous short (enron, wire card etc). And he still has his Telsa short from five years... I don't know his level but if he was short 5 years ago, what does that tell you and what does the short pic look like today? (look at the chart)... Same with Einhorn.. maintains short (i think but google it) These guys have lots of analysts with tons of experience... Burry understand the economics...
Question: auto sales run in cycles and when the cycle slows (they slow) they throw everything at you .... $5,000 cash back, zero interest yaddy ya..
I saw another valuation (not GS) where $6,500 was used for the software component... given google building platform for several auto companies, what do you think gets reduced to move cars sitting on the lot when the marginal cost of software is basically free other than the cost of upgrades... and that $6500 put Tesla at $240 per share..(recent article in Forbes... google it)... and the software profit is a big part of the value proposition..
And to justify the PT to $780 by increasing market share in 2030 and 2035... I can't tell you what will happen next week let alone 2030 ..... might be the all time squid move... even Cramer (former squid as in GS, still a squid post GS imo) said something to the effect of torture meaning being a forced shrill ... all imo...
If you pinned your hope on a vampire squid price target upgrade, do some more homework and be ready to leave the theatre will someone yells fire... and there are a lot of folks that want to burn the theatre down because they have an economic interest to do so and it is perfectly legal to do and that could happen after the close, or before the open (usually both) when it happens...and they have tanker trucks of gasoline as in institutional capital... how many robinhoods are ready with those fractional shares... Gulliver comes to mind... Keep in mind the general belief on shorting is that is healthy for markets... like forest fires for forests..
And I bet dollars to donuts some tentacles of vampire squid are ready to burn the theatre down as well (unless they are in bed w/ Tesla for another equity raise). Most likely several tentacles in this game. And they make money going up and down....
If you can't afford to lose the money you have in Tesla, do some rigorous research away from the "to the roof" club and if it confirms your conviction, great.
If not, get what you can't afford to lose out of your position. If you still love Tesla, buy back in at a significant discount and get more shares. I don't see a rush to buy $780 shares. I think these moves happen before Christmas so you might have time to do your homework. And the move could be severe... look at the annual chart... Tesla will still be a great company at $75 a share and at $750 a share.
Good luck
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