Tuesday, December 01, 2020 5:10:37 PM
avg vol for 20 plus days pre S&P announcement was 29 mil shares... avg vol 10 days since announcement was 58 mil shares for 29 mil per day increase or 289 mil shares extra over 10 days... S&P says one day is fine and says liquidity will be ok on dec 21... so sounds like they have the shares located ... institutions trade amongst themselves for rebalancing... (i would not be surprised if several institutions holding have deals in place because they know the value disconnect)... S&P is different with respect to value (sad but true and it's not their money - just widows and orphans money) but going forward value matters for institutions...
the question is what will be the clearing price after the S&P event... what will drive demand for shares at these prices? the "to the moon club cause this is going to $1,000" is only so big (or small) .... i would expect a big short move by hedgies once they see the time is right... yeah the shorts have been burned but they seem to be persistent... chanos, burry, einhorn usually and eventually get it right... prob hundreds of millions $ ready for a smackdown vs robinhood traders..
and they were shorting at south of $400 so $580 prob looks pretty good to them
back to $400 plus?.... potential upside from here? seems to bounce off $600
so short term $20 upside and $200 potential downside...
any hiccups like a recall or sales miss with competition gaining steam and look out below....
so who steps up to buy and at what price?
that how i see the battlefield shaping up... but i could be wrong
what is the bull case? it keeps going up so it will keep going up?
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