Bioelectronics Corp (BIEL)

[4toSchool]

There are so many errors in the "information" provided it is difficult to know where to begin.

Firstly, KW tweeted that she would "sell the company and retire" once it hit 4 million units sold in one year. so the rest of the exercise is moot.

Secondly, the $7 profit per unit is a huge stretch and therefore not reasonable when selling through an OEM, and especially not when selling through a licensing agreement. If there is a market for 25 million users, how many units will be purchased in each channel: retail by BioElectronics website, OEM, licensing agreement. Each has its own net revenue figure and I doubt the $7 on average stated in the hypothesis. Look at the most recent financial statement: $33k sold and COGS at $10K. That leads me to believe that the gross revenue per unit sold is around $7. Therefore, a net of $7 per unit is impossible. Don't forget about all the other operating expenses.

Thirdly, the number of shares used in the linked message is 25 billion. It should be fully diluted and be reflected by nearly 70 billion shares. FACT: When BIEL is sold, the buyer will take into account the 40+ billion shares available to those holding convertible promissory notes.

Fourthly, when the business matures in sales, like 50 million actipathces sold in a yar, its PE ratio would most likely be at a more lower number than the 100 multiple being promoted.

I couldn't go on about the fallacy of the figures presented in the linked post, but these should be sufficient to prove that the proposed valuation figures are false.

JustGoDeep Member Level Thursday, 11/12/20 12:42:59 PM
Re: Chrism0000 post# 240477 of 240508

That Really Depends On Your Hold Time

Till Selling. Use This Work Up To Determine How Many You Need.

So How does Biel get to a $1-Share-Price

without a reverse split? Simple 15-25 Million users will do it.

Biel Share Price Per Each 1 Million Actipatches sold per year.

Estimated profit per Actipatch after all costs is $7.00

Think profit is half that, divide the following numbers by two. A third, divide the numbers by three.

24 Billion shares outstanding and 25 Billion Authorized. I will use a 25 Billion figure.

$7,000,000 divided by 25 Billion = $.00028 X PE =

PE 30 = $.0084

PE 60 = $.0168

PE 120 =$.0336

High growth companies can sport a much higher PE.

Those numbers are for just $7,000,000 profit in a Year or $1,750,000 profit per Quarter.

That is for 1,000,000 Actipatches sold per Year.

Biel is in Current exponential growth. Biel will be tracking that number shortly.

Keep in mind the average user uses 2.7 Actipatches a year,

and that number is expected to be 10.8 Actipatches per user a year in the U.K.,

with the Government of the U.K. paying for the Actipatches.

So do you think Biel will sell 10 Million Actipatches a year? ABSOLUTELY YES.

Multiply those PE numbers by 10. --- Yes, that is $.084 to $.336 per share.

50 Million Actipatches a year?

Multiply those PE numbers by 50. --- Yes, that is $.42 to $1.68

100 Million Actipatches a Year?

Multiply those PE numbers by 100. --- Yes that is $.84 to $3.36

200 million Actipatches a year?

At this Point PE would not be over 60 in all probability, but never say never.

Multiply those PE numbers by 200. --- Yes that is $1.68 to $6.72

400 Million Actipatches a year?

Multiply those PE numbers by 400. --- Yes that is $3.36 to $13.44

600 Million Actipatches a year?

Multiply those PE numbers by 600. --- Yes that is $5.04 to $20.16

Average user using 2.7 divided by 600 million = 222,222,222 users per year would be needed

With a PE of about 30. That would be about 3% of the people on the planet using Actipatch every year.

Adjust the numbers as you wish, this is a price predicting model based on sales.

There is NOTHING wrong with the share structure other then widely held false beliefs.

CLUE: NHS average user is predicted to use 10.8 Actipatches a year.

Just 100,000 users is 1,080,000 Actipatches purchased per year.

NHS is the Government of the U.K. which is PAYING for Actipatches for their

Estimated 25-29 Million pain sufferers.

Folks, I am telling you this is going to be CRAZY!!

IT IS COMING!!

Umm, actually it has Begun!!

RATING: ULTIMATE GINORMOUS SUPER MONSTER!!