NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[hyperopia]

Reefrad, Branko adjusted the DCVax curve back a few months to account for the difference in comparator curves. You can read about some of the assumptions he used on his earlier models, and the questions and answers about them on his old blog here: https://askthebranko.blogspot.com/?m=1

For anyone who doesn’t know about Branko’s model, it’s here: https://twitter.com/KrstevskiBranko/status/1315989744644321280/photo/1

I believe his milestone survival estimates will prove to be pretty accurate.

1 year - 91%
2 year - 51%
3 year - 32%
4 year - 25%
5 year - 23%

6 year - 20% (my estimate)