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Sunday, 10/11/2020 10:06:42 AM

Sunday, October 11, 2020 10:06:42 AM

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ELECTION NEWS:

Townhall columnists Wayne Allyn Root

Opinion
Fake-Poll Alert: Proof Biden Is Not Winning
__________________
A great article on TownHall.

On other news, I have Trump with 4 "near guaranteed" new Trump electoral collage states: Arizona, (11), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4) and Maine (3 ...*at least 3 of the 4, possibly all 4).

TOTAL NEW NEAR GUARANTEED VOTES: 27 I also have a "highly probable" category of states that will vote Red, which thus far remains every single state Trump in 2016, a fairly simple assumption (307)......Adding in the new "near guarantees" of 27 votes, this brings Trump's total to 334, and moves the Democrats down to 27 votes for the 2016 to 200. As we know, 270 is required to win.....

what this means is that Trump would have to lose all of the "near guaranteed" new states, which is absolutely never going to happen, plus a sizeable chunk of the closer states in won in 2016, which is not going to happen.

For instance, Florida is considered basically a must win state for the democrats, but there is a good deal of information suggesting that TRUMP is far stronger now in Florida than he was in 2016. Let's discuss 2 more so called "battleground" states Trump won in 2016, Ohio and Iowa. Trump is so far ahead in these two states that he pulled much of his organization and advertising dollars out of these 2 states, to deploy elsewhere, this is how far he is ahead. His organization is light years ahead of the Biden organization. His information is good. So if the democrats must win these 3 states back (plus also the near guarantee states I have identified above), this is not going to happen. Not a prayer.

In addition, the following states are also officially "in play states" now for the republicans (all of which went for the democrats in 2016: Nevada (6), New Mexico (5), Ore. (7), Washington (12), Delaware (1), Virginia (13), last and least, Vermont (3) I list the important state of virginia with the least likelihood for trump because, although historically a red state, as the collectivist government workers have spread, they have all tended to locate around D.C in virginia, destroying that state's red history, but there is very definitely still a legitimate chance for Trump. I give the lunatic states of Ore and Washington an honest chance because the destruction in their two major cities by the democrat terrorist groups. I expect an energized Red participation rate. Conclusion: these brand new "in play" states therefore number some 46 additional electoral college votes, throw in the one Maine vote left, which can easily go red for sure, and the total here is 47 "in play votes."

I rate Vermont the least likely to go red, since they have voted in a socialist all these years, but Bernie has had a very bad 4 years. His wife came within a hair of being indicted, but escaped due to democrat attorney General, and whereas 4 years ago he could legitimately get 3,000 people at a major rally in that state, today he struggles to get 50 legitimate audience, in his attempts to throw his vote to Joe Biden. They have really soured on this old communist, but still, this is a long shot. Vermont has a lot of well off and wealthy people, really make you want to throw up limousine liberals. It is possibly that many of these are fearful of losing their money in a socialist america so they might go for Trump, but unlikely. Vermont people are really brain dead so I rate them least likely to go red. Vermont could however surprise. Bernie's stumping for Joe shows people have dramatically turned on him. And Biden will not show his face in that state from now until the election.

I have kept Connecticut as a lock for a democrat state. You can forget about MD, once a rock solid red state. It is now controlled by the d.c. government workers who have invaded it, plus the denizens of Baltimore. That state is behind the Iron curtain, probably forever. In fact I give New Jersey a better shot of flipping, which however, is highly unlikely.

Conclusion: There are now new 47 "in play" democrat electoral votes which might swing to Trump. Trump might reasonably and conceivable get, in various scenarios, another 15 New votes from this group of states

Conclusion: Provided Trump keeps all the states he won in 2016, which he believes and his people believe he will, 307 Votes
I then add in all the new "near guarantee" votes = 27
In the interest of compromise i give Maine its 1 split or proportional vote to the DEMs.
We have a near guarantee vote of 334 for TRUMP, and 200 for Biden.
I then add in 15 "in play" votes for Trump, of the 47 now possibly available.
This gives TRUMP 349 Total Electoral Votes, and moves Biden down to 185 total votes.
(I therefore am revising my previous prediction of 370)

This puts me at less than the most reliable "presidential model" prognostication, which puts Trump at 362 votes, which has been correct in forecasting the winner in 26 of the last 27 elections, but I think it must be too high, but hey, it has a track record.

What should not surprise anybody are the endless leftist polls being spit out daily. A leopard cannot change its spot, nor can you change the direction of an oil tanker very easily. These political people, who consider this their "industry" or profession are schooled from very early to use polls as a political weapon to discourage voters of the other side, from going out to vote. In other words, which is very typical of the democrat socialists, deceit being their modus operandi, they use polls as political weapons and lies, not as pieces of honest information. What we know is that everything the modern democrat party does is a lie, a deceit, a hoax, a con, a hustle and so often a federal felony.
This has not worked going against Trump and his supporters, but they cannot change their mindset or their industry. The Left is stuck with the idea that they can discourage red voters by forecasting packs of lies, which are in fact simply "opposition research reports" masquerading as polls.

For instance, to show you how a leopard cannot and will not change its spots, the polls in the 2016 election about 35 days from the election day, from the corporation and leftist media, ALL HAD HILLARY AHEAD FROM 9 TO 15 points across the board.

In fact, the republicans are doing the opposite, they have been uniformly trying to tamp down expectations, saying their states are gonna be very tight, so people simply must get out and vote. They take the exact opposite approach of the democrats.

Here is a hint of the truth in this article. They know they are doing much better this election than the last one: https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/10/trump-campaign-looking-ahead-polling-betters-2016-overall-picture-looks-good/

The biggest open secret in America is that the democrats have unilaterlly now gone to open in your face Steal the Election mode, where they do not care if america knows they are stealing the election with their vote by mail fraud campaign and strategy. This was their plan for the past year or more. This is their last desperate straw, if all their hoaxes failed, which they have. Even their Shut down the economy, throw america into a depresssion, destroy 20 million jobs,with their plan that this would make people blame trump, and get him out of office. This too, major organized scheme is in the process of failing. People did not blame Trump when the democrats used the China flu to shut down and destroy the cities; quite the opposite, people know the democrats used this, and are using this, to destroy jobs and America. This has spurred a massive EXIT movement from the democrat party.

Their last desperate hail mary is to simply in your face steal the election. Remember what Josef Stalin, one of their communist icons from the old soviet union said, "it is not who votes, but who counts the votes.'
Democrat Leftist lawyers, and organizers and their urban machines know this very well, they have been doing it for years. Every single republican in the country knows that JFK, a great man and very much like trump, only beat Nixon due to massive voter fraud in Illinois and very probably west Virginia way back when.....and so do today's current supreme court justices, but more on that later...(despite that election steal, Nixon always like and deeply admired John Kennedy, and Kennedy kind of liked nixon)....Nixon never ever complained that he lost the election this way....

This will not work. The republicans are far too organized. Trump has hired an estimated 2000, two thousand attorneys who now involved in the states the demos are trying to steal. Most, but not all of the court decisions are falling to the republicans, in lieu of the thousands of documented cases already, of democrat election fraud in the blue states and urban areas. And most importantly, what the democrat leftist lawyers could not plan on was the death of the socialist supreme court justice, ruth ginsberg, just several weeks ago. Trump's nominee amy comey barret is rock solid honest and die hard against election fraud. Anything reaching the supreme court now will have a guaranteed vote of 5 to 4 in favor of Trump, and in fact, the chief justice, a clown named roberts, is himself a bush republican, and while all Trump people consider him corrupt, it is entirely possible he could vote against the election steal as well, giving the court a 6 to 3 vote on ANYTHING AND EVERYTHING...........so this avenue for the democrats has now been 100% blocked.

There is no way the democrats can steal 70 or 80 (or even 25) electoral votes. Not a prayer.
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