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Re: skitahoe post# 299126

Sunday, 08/09/2020 6:45:45 PM

Sunday, August 09, 2020 6:45:45 PM

Post# of 723664

I'd love to believe we were in a "V" shaped recovery, but I believe we've made the mistake of opening too quickly, and that those schools that do reopen will be shut in a matter of weeks as they become the sight of major infectious spread of the disease.

I don't know precisely what percentage of our economy are providing services like waiters, trainers, hairdressers, etc, but I can't see the recovery approaching the employment levels prior to Covid-19 until all the people working in these largely service sector jobs can return to doing so safely in indoor venues. While it may be nice going to dinner outdoors in August, or having your hair cut, etc outdoors now, it won't be very comfortable doing so by October or November in many places. A recovery needs employment to be sustained, and that means moving businesses that have managed to move outdoors back indoors safely. I'm afraid this can't happen until we get the vaccine to the majority of American's and have enough experience with it to believe it's really effective. Hopefully by sometime in Spring of 2021 people will start to feel that some degree of normalcy has returned. I hope that SBA or someone will bankroll what previously were successful restaurant owners, gym owners, etc to reopen businesses that folded because of Covid-19 because they couldn't get the funds necessary to survive. It's hard to stay in business when there is no business, Govt. rightfully caused them to shut down as thousands were being infected when they were open, but they're desirable services once the fear is gone. I don't believe the owners of such businesses will have the resources to reopen unless the Govt. provides the seed money to do so.



I think 'L' shape is more likely. Your only hope is to open up much more quickly, imo. Otherwise you will be playing Okey Kokey for many years to come. The virus is here to stay and cannot be artificially suppressed forever. That's a reality. But it's losing virulence rapidly and you only need 20% to hit HIT. So why shut down the country when you are probably already at 15%. Continuing cases are good, especially when 80% are asymptomatic, because it means you will be getting ever nearer the HIT. Then you will see some finality. And only then.
What needs to be monitored, but you are unlikely to be told about are rolling weekly stats on hospitalisations, 'Covid' deaths, and excess deaths over previous years. But all you will be told about are new cases. Unless you look for your self. Massive levels of testing to find some new cases and then shut down again, is frankly crazy, unless the objective is about something else entirely.

Moderna execs all sold millions of shares in the last few months. What do they know that you and I don't?
Oxford / AZN lot are now talking about at least two shots and lessening of symptoms as a good outcome..
Senior AZN exec stated that they must have legal immunity in case a side-effect shows up four years later!
At best, it will likely end up like the flu shot. Reformulations every year ad infinitum. Which will suit BP down to the ground. AZN and Moderna have both had a $1B dollars of taxpayers money.
Because they are so kind-hearted they will provide the first jab at cost! But after that?
The fear won't go until the authorities stop fomenting it.

My comments are equally applicable to the UK (and Australia, and New Zealand, and France and several others.)

JMO!
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