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Sunday, 08/02/2020 12:54:54 AM

Sunday, August 02, 2020 12:54:54 AM

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Interesting Calculation, and Hopefully Flawed: Using data from the "Worldometer"; Take deaths per million in Sweden compared to same for US... then multiply Swedish excess (Sweden - US) by US population to determine how many lives we saved with our sanctions. Admittedly not a fantastic direct comparison... but wait to the end here. So you have a rough estimate for the lives we saved for $? $2T? $3T? Half of GNP for 4 months = $22T/8 = 2.75T? I think $2.75T is pretty conservative. But subtract the population scaled expenses for Sweden for their measures to protect the elderly and whatever other minimal things they did. Maybe $.25T? I think that is a fair estimate. So the scaled effective extra we spent was about $2.5T. The number we saved over Sweden, all scaled to population, by my calc was 33,128 people. Cost per person saved = $75M. I believe that is about 500 fold what we normally alot to save a life,and often we alot $0. Not sure of any of this, but even if I am off by a factor of 10... and it could be a factor of 10 in the other direction...

If this is anywhere close, then it matters. We could have saved many more lives with that money buying insulin or dialysis or brain surgeries or heart surgeries, or food. But again, hopefully there is something wrong in these calculations and assumptions. Sweden is less densely populated... but not by a huge factor. Maybe a factor of 2. The Swedes have a different culture... they have a different average tolerance for Covid-19, probably. All those things could add up to a factor of 5? Even then we have a 100 fold problem here. Find the errors in these calcs and assumptions.
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