Sunday, May 31, 2020 12:51:13 PM
Here is my fact and number based analysis on $PLYZ
As of April 6, 2020, there were 119,065,530 shares of the Issuer's common stock, par value $0.001 per share outstanding.
Worst case, 100% dilution will happen. That makes 238,131,060 shares in total.
Company is targeting 8.6Mill EBIT in next 2 years. Assuming 20% Net Margin, the company valuation comes at $43M.
Lets say, they wont be able achieve the projected target, I am considering that they will be able to do only half of 8.6M which is ~4M(rounded). That bring market cap 21M(with ~20% EBIT)
Assuming some clients leave the company but still its realistic valuations at ~20M after 2 years.
20M valuaiton with 2.3B shares bring the share price to .0839 which is 167X of current price.
Thats long Story---------
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Now the rumours about MSFT buying this company. That looks realistic given the fact that MSFT has been buying all good small companies who have developed the unique platforms for based on ML and AI.
This COVID-19 situation has actually helped all such small companies because more and more retailers are turning online OR they have increased the focus on online retail. The price war in retail(from both seller and buyer side) is giving a unique proposition to this company. I wont be surprised if MSFT end up buying this company in 5M valuations which will catapult share price to Moon.
Stay invested.
Dics: I hold 10M shares
"not"stradamus
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