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Wednesday, May 06, 2020 6:16:09 PM
Here's a couple more contributions on the true mortality rate. Between 0.1 and 0.3.
A German virologist, who undertook a study of all households in a small town location. 900 individuals. 15% tested positive. Mortality rate of between 0.2 and 0.3 percent. And they consider that conservatively on the high side.
By extrapolation that means 2.2% or higher of the German population are infected. And he calculates that in the UK that might mean 10m or 15% infected.
Which kind of makes continued lockdown absolutely unnecessary medically, as well as destroying economies.
So the whole 'keep R below 1.0' message, is simply ridiculous.
And the two Californian Doc's, (who do run or work for a medical business) who had their previous press conference video deleted from YT and were vilified as a result of it, appear again here, giving a similar message from a physician pov.
6000 tests, now 7.3% testing positive.
And in the County they serve with a population of 900,000, they have (by extrapolation) in the region of 70,000 infected individuals and 14 patients in hospital, and 3 patients on a ventilator....
So the whole 'keep R below 1.0' message, is simply ridiculous.
Ultimately the virus will become endemic, but the death rate will continue to get lower and lower.
Just like a slightly heavy year of flu...
(LC2000 you were right.)
And Cog; at your tender age, your risk of mortality will be very much less than 0.1%.
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