NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO): The fatality to tested ratio in NYS is a...

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Re: exwannabe post# 280040

Saturday, 04/25/2020 7:07:51 PM

Saturday, April 25, 2020 7:07:51 PM

The fatality to tested ratio in NYS is about 16,600/777,600 = 0.0213. That is 2.13%. Extrapolating to the 19.45M population of NYS would yield a fatality number of 19,450,000× 0.0 213 = 414,285. So, what am I missing about Dr. Erickson's calculations that are forecasting very small numbers. It seems to me that he is conflating the ratio of 0.0213 with a percentage of 0.0213. A percentage of 0.0213 would be a ratio of 0.000213, which would then yield a fatality number of about 4100. Something abiut his math does not add up. Not saying it is deliberate, but he appears to be making a mistake somewhere. But I could be wrong.

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